Here's a look at the top five places of the CFCL 2013 Pennant Chase. Standings as of 9/11/13.
1. Clowns 74
2. Bulls 73
3. Ruffins 63
4. DoorMatts 62
5. Kenndoza Line 57
6. Beatniks (Beatniks listed yesterday and today to show how they might move up or down the standings).
Beatniks VS Line (9 points separating the teams)
Beatniks could gain 1 SB, 1 OBP, 3 WHiP, 1.5 QS, 3 K/BB, 1 H/S for a total of 10.5 points.
Line could lose 1 OBP, 2 WHiP for a total of 3 points.
13.5 points in play with a nine point deficit. Beatniks could move up.
Line VS DoorMatts (5 points separating the teams)
Line could gain 1 Run, 1 TB, 1 ERA, 1 WHiP for a total of four points.
DoorMatts could lose 1 OBP, 1ERA, 1 K/BB for a total of three points.
Seven points in play with a five point deficit. Line could move up.
DoorMatts VS Ruffins (1 point separating the teams)
DoorMatts could gain 1 OBP, 1 WHiP, 1 K/BB for a total of three points.
Ruffins could lose 1 R, 1 TB, .5 QS, 1 K/BB for a total of three and a half points.
6.5 points in play with a one point deficit. DoorMatts could move up and for all of August and part of September, the DoorMatts and Ruffins in fact have been been trading the third and fourth place slots.
Ruffins VS Bulls (10 whopping points separating the teams).
Ruffins could gain 1 RBI, 1 ERA, 1 WHiP, .5 QS, 2 K/BB, 1 H/S for a total of six and a half points.
Bulls could lose 1 R, 1 TB, 1 WHiP, .5 QS, 2 K/BB, 1 H/S for a total of six and a half points.
Thirteen points in play with a ten point deficit. Amazingly, with two weeks left in the season, the Ruffins could move up.
Bulls VS Clowns (1 point separating the teams).
Bulls could gain 1 OBP, 1 TB, 1 ERA, 1 WHiP, 1.5 QS, 1 K/BB for a total of 6.5 points.
Clowns could lose 1 OBP, 3 WHiP, .5 QS, 3 K/BB for a total of 7.5 points.
Two weeks left in the season and there could be a fourteen point swing with the top two teams. Bulls could move up. And in fact, for August and September the Bulls and Clowns have been flipflopping the top two places in the standings.
Disclaimer** This is all potential stuff. For any head-to-head matchup diagnosed above and yesterday to happen, all the right (or wrong) things must happen. The reality is that some of this and some of that will happen. The amazing point to this Anatomy of a Pennant Race is that with two weeks left in the season, EVERY SINGLE TEAM has the ability to move up or down in the standings. That speaks volumes to the parity of the talent of the owners in this league as well as the detailed attention they give their team week in and week out. Oh, sure it could be luck or a special convergence of events. But as we saw yesterday, this is the fourth year out of the last five where we very well won't know the CFCL champion until the last out of the last game of the season.
Further proving that point, [get this, this is amazing] the Bulls and Clowns are adjacent to each other in FIVE categories and four of those categories it is completely possible that one could pass the other. That is eight points that will be in play until the final game of the season.
Showing posts with label 2013. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2013. Show all posts
Friday, September 13, 2013
Thursday, September 12, 2013
Anatomy of a Pennant Race (Part 1)
It may not surprise you to hear that over the course of 29 complete seasons the CFCL has seen some amazing pennant races. I'm sure every league has had them. But just in the last four years we have seen three amazing races, each quite different than the other.
2012 - Candy Colored Clowns hold a commanding 15-20 point lead over the league around the trade deadline. Dem Rebels decide to try to make things interesting and make a few deals at the deadline. As late as the end of August the Clowns still held a 20 point lead over the Rebels. And then September happens. And the Rebels are coming, and they keep coming and they make the Clowns sweat. When the final out was recorded for the season, the Clowns had their first CFCL title, finishing 1 point ahead of Dem Rebels.
2011 - A year that will live in infamy in the Revenge historical archives. Four teams finished within four and a half points of each other. Going into the final week the DoorMatts, Ruffins, Revenge and Kenndoza Line all had legitimate opportunity to take home the Copperfield Trophy. With about six days left in the season the Ruffins, in third or fourth place, even sent out a concession e-mail wishing the other three owners well in their pursuit of the pinnacle. When it looked like the Revenge would take their first championship to the mantle, tragedy struck in the name of Brad Lincoln and the Ruffins scooted past the scrum to finish 1.5 points ahead of the Kenndoza Line.
2010 - Perhaps the most amazing race ever. The Kenndoza Line and DoorMatts were neck and neck. To make matter more hectic, perennial champion Copperfields were hovering just a few points back. It came down to the last day. It came down to the last game. It came down to the last inning. After the final pitch we had a flatfooted tie, Kenndoza Line 79 - DoorMatts 79. The Line owned the tie-breaker, denying the DoorMatts their first ever title.
2013 is shaping up much the same way. But not just for the championship. There is a lot of drama for ALL the positions. Today and tomorrow we will look at each "race". First - teams 6-10.
STANDINGS AS OF 9/11/13
6. Eukennott Beatniks 48
7. Dem Rebels 48
8. Stranger Danger 46
9. Morkertzuma's Revenge 44
10. Twin Killers 35
In the following matchups, I have only identified if the team lower in the standings can catch the team directly above them by either gaining points or having the higher team lose points. If you want to see a comprehensive view of the standings, click here.
Twin Killers VS. Revenge [Nine points separate them]
The Killers can conservatively gain 1 point in Runs, 1 OBP, 2 WHiP, 2 K/BB for a total of 6.
The Revenge could potentially lose 1 SB, 1 OBP, 1 ERA, 1 WHiP, 1 QS, 2 K/BB for a total of 7.
Thirteen point swing with a nine point difference. Killers could move up.
Revenge VS Danger [Two points separate them]
Before we get to the analysis, let's be reminded that the Revenge are trying to pass a team WHOSE OWNER DIDN'T SHOW UP TO THE DRAFT; WHOSE PROXY LEFT THE DRAFT EARLY; WHO HAD TO COMPLETE HIS RESERVE ROSTER TWO FULL DAYS AFTER THE COMPLETION OF THE DRAFT!!!!
Revenge can gain 1 RBI, 1 OBP, 1 TB, 2 WHiP for a total of 5.
Danger can lose 1 SB for a total of 1.
Six point swing with a two point difference. Revenge could move up.
Danger VS Dem Rebels [Two points separate them]
Before we get to the analysis, let's be reminded that the Rebels are trying to stay ahead of a team WHOSE OWNER DIDN'T SHOW UP TO THE DRAFT; WHOSE PROXY LEFT THE DRAFT EARLY; WHO HAD TO COMPLETE HIS RESERVE ROSTER TWO FULL DAYS AFTER THE COMPLETION OF THE DRAFT!!!!
Danger can gain 1 OBP, 1 QS for a total of 2.
Dem Rebels can lose 1 R, 2 OBP, 2 WHiP, 2 K/BB for a total of 7.
Nine point swing with a two point difference. Danger could move up.
Dem Rebels VS Beatniks [0 points separate them]
I show the Rebels as the pursuers of the Beatniks, despite the tie in points because the Beatniks have been ahead all season long. Simply throwing a bone to the 'Niks. They've had a tough season.
Dem Rebels can gain 1 SB, 1 K/BB for a total of 2.
Beatniks can lose 1 SB, 1 OBP, 2 WHiP, 1 QS, 1 K/BB for a total of 6.
Eight point swing with no point difference. Dem Rebels could move up.
Teams 1-5 tomorrow. Stay tuned.
2012 - Candy Colored Clowns hold a commanding 15-20 point lead over the league around the trade deadline. Dem Rebels decide to try to make things interesting and make a few deals at the deadline. As late as the end of August the Clowns still held a 20 point lead over the Rebels. And then September happens. And the Rebels are coming, and they keep coming and they make the Clowns sweat. When the final out was recorded for the season, the Clowns had their first CFCL title, finishing 1 point ahead of Dem Rebels.
2011 - A year that will live in infamy in the Revenge historical archives. Four teams finished within four and a half points of each other. Going into the final week the DoorMatts, Ruffins, Revenge and Kenndoza Line all had legitimate opportunity to take home the Copperfield Trophy. With about six days left in the season the Ruffins, in third or fourth place, even sent out a concession e-mail wishing the other three owners well in their pursuit of the pinnacle. When it looked like the Revenge would take their first championship to the mantle, tragedy struck in the name of Brad Lincoln and the Ruffins scooted past the scrum to finish 1.5 points ahead of the Kenndoza Line.
2010 - Perhaps the most amazing race ever. The Kenndoza Line and DoorMatts were neck and neck. To make matter more hectic, perennial champion Copperfields were hovering just a few points back. It came down to the last day. It came down to the last game. It came down to the last inning. After the final pitch we had a flatfooted tie, Kenndoza Line 79 - DoorMatts 79. The Line owned the tie-breaker, denying the DoorMatts their first ever title.
2013 is shaping up much the same way. But not just for the championship. There is a lot of drama for ALL the positions. Today and tomorrow we will look at each "race". First - teams 6-10.
STANDINGS AS OF 9/11/13
6. Eukennott Beatniks 48
7. Dem Rebels 48
8. Stranger Danger 46
9. Morkertzuma's Revenge 44
10. Twin Killers 35
In the following matchups, I have only identified if the team lower in the standings can catch the team directly above them by either gaining points or having the higher team lose points. If you want to see a comprehensive view of the standings, click here.
Twin Killers VS. Revenge [Nine points separate them]
The Killers can conservatively gain 1 point in Runs, 1 OBP, 2 WHiP, 2 K/BB for a total of 6.
The Revenge could potentially lose 1 SB, 1 OBP, 1 ERA, 1 WHiP, 1 QS, 2 K/BB for a total of 7.
Thirteen point swing with a nine point difference. Killers could move up.
Revenge VS Danger [Two points separate them]
Before we get to the analysis, let's be reminded that the Revenge are trying to pass a team WHOSE OWNER DIDN'T SHOW UP TO THE DRAFT; WHOSE PROXY LEFT THE DRAFT EARLY; WHO HAD TO COMPLETE HIS RESERVE ROSTER TWO FULL DAYS AFTER THE COMPLETION OF THE DRAFT!!!!
Revenge can gain 1 RBI, 1 OBP, 1 TB, 2 WHiP for a total of 5.
Danger can lose 1 SB for a total of 1.
Six point swing with a two point difference. Revenge could move up.
Danger VS Dem Rebels [Two points separate them]
Before we get to the analysis, let's be reminded that the Rebels are trying to stay ahead of a team WHOSE OWNER DIDN'T SHOW UP TO THE DRAFT; WHOSE PROXY LEFT THE DRAFT EARLY; WHO HAD TO COMPLETE HIS RESERVE ROSTER TWO FULL DAYS AFTER THE COMPLETION OF THE DRAFT!!!!
Danger can gain 1 OBP, 1 QS for a total of 2.
Dem Rebels can lose 1 R, 2 OBP, 2 WHiP, 2 K/BB for a total of 7.
Nine point swing with a two point difference. Danger could move up.
Dem Rebels VS Beatniks [0 points separate them]
I show the Rebels as the pursuers of the Beatniks, despite the tie in points because the Beatniks have been ahead all season long. Simply throwing a bone to the 'Niks. They've had a tough season.
Dem Rebels can gain 1 SB, 1 K/BB for a total of 2.
Beatniks can lose 1 SB, 1 OBP, 2 WHiP, 1 QS, 1 K/BB for a total of 6.
Eight point swing with no point difference. Dem Rebels could move up.
Teams 1-5 tomorrow. Stay tuned.
Friday, May 24, 2013
Deeper Dive: DunKenn
Earlier this week, Rich posted about Draft Day rituals, including mascots at the Draft.
The most consistenly-present Draft Day mascot has been the "corn cob figurine" that has accompanied Kenndoza Line at the annual auction.
In a comment to Rich's original post, Kenndoa owner Kenn Ruby provided some additional detail on his Draft Day Buddy:
DunKenn is actually a basketball-playing ear of corn I got in a Happy Meal in 1993. I have no idea why. Last year he was missing on draft day, which was just devastating for me. He was miraculous "found" months later, but by then the damage had been done.
Here's a close-up of DunKenn from the 2013 Draft Day photo Rich posted:
The most consistenly-present Draft Day mascot has been the "corn cob figurine" that has accompanied Kenndoza Line at the annual auction.
In a comment to Rich's original post, Kenndoa owner Kenn Ruby provided some additional detail on his Draft Day Buddy:
DunKenn is actually a basketball-playing ear of corn I got in a Happy Meal in 1993. I have no idea why. Last year he was missing on draft day, which was just devastating for me. He was miraculous "found" months later, but by then the damage had been done.
Here's a close-up of DunKenn from the 2013 Draft Day photo Rich posted:
Monday, April 8, 2013
Meet The 2013 CFCL Owners
Here are the ten heartbeats of the CFCL. This solid core allow me to fully state with utmost confidence "30 Years of the CFCL! (We're Not Even Halfway There!)"
Left to right we have: Matt Grage (Owner of Graging Bulls); Tim Morkert (Morkertzuma's Revenge); Nick Hansen (Eukennott Beatniks); Rich Bentel (Dem Rebels); Mike Bentel (Twin Killers); Matt Bentel (DoorMatts); Dan Strang (sitting in for his brother, Scott Strang - Stranger Danger); Kenn Ruby (Kenndoza Line); and last year's champion Mike Coulter (Candy Colored Clowns). [Not pictured Dave Holian (David's Ruffins); Dave drafted via cellphone connection and with the awesome assistance of former CFCL owner and League Founder, David Mahlan]
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